To reach a level of predictive and even prescriptive maintenance that will enable shop optimization, fleet managers and shop supervisors must understand three lessons about how the lean model restructures its internal processes so that capacity meets operating needs.
1. Make railcar failures your own internal customer demand
Insight into future demand enables auto-manufacturers and other lean operators to adjust capacity for future operating contexts. That way, auto-manufacturers can pivot as consumer tastes change. Before forecasting sets changes in operations in motion, process improvements make manufacturing plants adaptable.
While auto-manufacturers rely on data from dealerships and oil prices to forecast demand, condition monitoring analysts and craft workers have predictive analytics to anticipate specific maintenance demands before they warrant service. Rail maintenance teams have the added benefit of sensored customers. That is, railcars and wayside systems are equipped with sensors that make them behaviorally predictable in ways that consumer demand for cars isn’t — shop planners can know the required steps for repairs and financial outcomes of maintenance decisions with certainty ahead of time by taking analytics-driven steps toward process improvement.
2. Reduce variability to cut out surprises and establish routine
With the precise forecasting of consumer preferences, auto-manufacturers are able to eliminate volatility in their operating responses to changing consumer preferences. Toyota defined this core lean concept as Kanban, which means that materials are available “just in time” for incorporation in assembly processes. Over time, floor-level process improvements give regularity toward production so that adjustments in capacity — whether to produce a certain body style that is interchangeable with other finished cars, for example — result in automated, more efficient changes in how manufacturers tool their plants.
With predictive analytics and condition-based insight into railcar health, repair shops are also able to optimize maintenance. Advanced visibility into locomotive health provides precision: planned parts inventory, bundled repairs, reduced dwell time, extended lead time, and prioritized service. Many reliability leads know that their unplanned events have common root causes and are buried in data. Making sense of those patterns is challenging because many repair shops are simply overworked and scrambling to make repairs.
3. Create digital switches for operating excellence throughout the rail ecosystem
After following lean principles to eliminate waste on factory floors, Toyota discovered that process efficiencies confined to specific areas like the paint or press shops didn’t necessarily translate into system-wide improvement. What Toyota learned was that continual improvements spanning processes were important in integrating “just in time” supply with demand.
With AI-driven asset management, railcars have a leg-up on system-wide improvement. Since there are sensors on railcars at the component-level and expertise about them can be digitized, rolling stock reliability can be easily connected with how cost-effectively the shop performs maintenance. The challenges lie with the initial preparation of rail organizational processes, like cleansing work-order data across varied IT and OT systems, for making the prediction of failures possible. In the coming weeks, we’ll be talking more about the challenges rail maintenance teams must overcome to get lean.